NCAA Basketball Tournament Trends: NCAA 5 thru 8 Seeds
Utilizing NCAA basketball tournament trends when picking games involving 5 thru 8 seeds in the NCAA bracket is where you can get yourself an early lead in your office pool or online March Madness contest. Everybody is going to do well on first round games involving 1 thru 4 seeds. It's the middle of the pack matchups that often make the difference between a great first round showing in your NCAA touney bracket and a poor showing that may even affect your Sweet 16 picks.
Since the NCAA tourney field expanded to 64 in 1985, teams seeded 5 and 6 have won just over two-thirds of their first round games. That also means the lower seed wins 1 out of 3 times so it's important to study these first round matchups. Number 7 seeds have won about 60% of their first round games while 8 seeds have actually lost to the number 9 seed more times than not. 8 seeds are 44-52 in the first round of the NCAA tournament.
Since the NCAA tourney field expanded to 64 in 1985, teams seeded 5 and 6 have won just over two-thirds of their first round games. That also means the lower seed wins 1 out of 3 times so it's important to study these first round matchups. Number 7 seeds have won about 60% of their first round games while 8 seeds have actually lost to the number 9 seed more times than not. 8 seeds are 44-52 in the first round of the NCAA tournament.
General NCAA basketball tournament trends - 5 thru 8 seeds
5 thru 8 seeds typically bow out of the NCAA tournament prior to the Elite 8. Since 1985 only 5 out of 96 teams have made it to the Elite 8 as a number 5 seed. Interestingly number 6 seeds have made it to the Elite 8 twelve times since 1985. During the same time-frame only eighteen number 7 seeds have made it to the Sweet 16 while only nine number 8 seeds have made it that far. That is likely due to the fact that 7 seeds meet 2 seeds in the 2nd round and 8 seeds meet 1 seeds.
The summary below shows how far 5 thru 8 seeds have made it in the NCAA tournament since 1985:
Number 5 seed NCAA basketball tournament trends:
Lost 31 times in the first round
Lost 31 times in the second round
Lost 9 times in the Sweet 16
Lost 1 time in the Elite 8
Lost 2 times in the Final Four
Lost 2 times in the championship game
Won the national championship 0 times
Number 6 seed NCAA basketball tournament trends :
Lost 30 times in the first round
Lost 32 times in the second round
Lost 22 times in the Sweet 16
Lost 9 times in the Elite 8
Lost 1 time in the Final Four
Lost 1 time in the championship game
Won the national championship 1 time
Number 7 seed NCAA basketball tournament trends:
Lost 36 times in the first round
Lost 42 times in the second round
Lost 12 times in the Sweet 16
Lost 6 times in the Elite 8
Lost 0 times in the Final Four
Lost 0 times in the championship game
Won the national championship 0 times
Number 8 seed NCAA basketball tournament trends:
Lost 52 times in the first round
Lost 35 times in the second round
Lost 2 times in the Sweet 16
Lost 4 times in the Elite 8
Lost 2 times in the Final Four
Lost 0 times in the championship game
Won the national championship 1 time
NCAA basketball tournament trends - 5 thru 8 seeds in the championship game
Villanova won the national championship in 1985 as a number 8 seed and Kansas topped the NCAA college basketball bracket in 1988 as a number 6 seed. Michigan lost in the 1992 championship game as a number 6 seed. Florida lost in the 2000 title game as a number 5 seed. Indiana lost in the 2002 NCAA title game as a number 5 seed. Other than those instances the national championship game since 1985 has been owned by 1 through 4 seeds.
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5 thru 8 seeds typically bow out of the NCAA tournament prior to the Elite 8. Since 1985 only 5 out of 96 teams have made it to the Elite 8 as a number 5 seed. Interestingly number 6 seeds have made it to the Elite 8 twelve times since 1985. During the same time-frame only eighteen number 7 seeds have made it to the Sweet 16 while only nine number 8 seeds have made it that far. That is likely due to the fact that 7 seeds meet 2 seeds in the 2nd round and 8 seeds meet 1 seeds.
The summary below shows how far 5 thru 8 seeds have made it in the NCAA tournament since 1985:
Number 5 seed NCAA basketball tournament trends:
Lost 31 times in the first round
Lost 31 times in the second round
Lost 9 times in the Sweet 16
Lost 1 time in the Elite 8
Lost 2 times in the Final Four
Lost 2 times in the championship game
Won the national championship 0 times
Number 6 seed NCAA basketball tournament trends :
Lost 30 times in the first round
Lost 32 times in the second round
Lost 22 times in the Sweet 16
Lost 9 times in the Elite 8
Lost 1 time in the Final Four
Lost 1 time in the championship game
Won the national championship 1 time
Number 7 seed NCAA basketball tournament trends:
Lost 36 times in the first round
Lost 42 times in the second round
Lost 12 times in the Sweet 16
Lost 6 times in the Elite 8
Lost 0 times in the Final Four
Lost 0 times in the championship game
Won the national championship 0 times
Number 8 seed NCAA basketball tournament trends:
Lost 52 times in the first round
Lost 35 times in the second round
Lost 2 times in the Sweet 16
Lost 4 times in the Elite 8
Lost 2 times in the Final Four
Lost 0 times in the championship game
Won the national championship 1 time
NCAA basketball tournament trends - 5 thru 8 seeds in the championship game
Villanova won the national championship in 1985 as a number 8 seed and Kansas topped the NCAA college basketball bracket in 1988 as a number 6 seed. Michigan lost in the 1992 championship game as a number 6 seed. Florida lost in the 2000 title game as a number 5 seed. Indiana lost in the 2002 NCAA title game as a number 5 seed. Other than those instances the national championship game since 1985 has been owned by 1 through 4 seeds.
Back to NCAA Bracket Tips
Back to College Basketball Rankings home page
Check out NCAA women's tournament trends
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