NCAA Bracket Trends: NCAA Tournament 9 thru 12 Seeds
NCAA bracket trends show that 9 through 12 seeds in the NCAA men's basketball tournament are where you can look for most of the first round upsets to occur. A number 9 seed beating an 8 seed really isn't an upset, in fact 9 seeds hold a 50-42 advantage over 8 seeds since 1985. But when a 10, 11, or 12 seed wins in the NCAA tournament then we're talking upset.
9 thru 12 seed NCAA bracket trends since 1985:
9 seeds are 50-42 against 8 seeds.
10 seeds are 37-55 against 7 seeds.
11 seeds are 29-63 against 6 seeds.
12 seeds are 29-63 against 5 seeds.
The summary below shows how far 9 thru 12 seeds have made it in the NCAA tournament since 1985:
9 thru 12 seed NCAA bracket trends since 1985:
9 seeds are 50-42 against 8 seeds.
10 seeds are 37-55 against 7 seeds.
11 seeds are 29-63 against 6 seeds.
12 seeds are 29-63 against 5 seeds.
The summary below shows how far 9 thru 12 seeds have made it in the NCAA tournament since 1985:
Number 9 seed NCAA bracket trends:
Lost 42 times in the first round
Lost 47 times in the second round
Lost 2 times in the Sweet 16
Lost 1 time in the Elite 8
Lost 0 times in the Final Four
Lost 0 times in the championship game
Won the national championship 0 times
Number 10 seed NCAA bracket trends :
Lost 57 times in the first round
Lost 18 times in the second round
Lost 11 times in the Sweet 16
Lost 6 times in the Elite 8
Lost 0 times in the Final Four
Lost 0 times in the championship game
Won the national championship 0 times
Number 11 seed NCAA bracket trends:
Lost 63 times in the first round
Lost 18 times in the second round
Lost 7 times in the Sweet 16
Lost 2 times in the Elite 8
Lost 2 times in the Final Four
Lost 0 times in the championship game
Won the national championship 0 times
Number 12 seed NCAA bracket trends:
Lost 63 times in the first round
Lost 14 times in the second round
Lost 14 times in the Sweet 16
Lost 1 time in the Elite 8
Lost 0 times in the Final Four
Lost 0 times in the championship game
Won the national championship 0 times
NCAA bracket trends summary - 9 thru 12 seeds
As you can see from the chart above, most 9 through 12 seeds are done prior to the Sweet 16 as expected. Interesting how 10, 11, and 12 seeds stand a better chance of making the Sweet 16 for the simple reason that 9 seeds match up with the number 1 seeds in the second round. Since 1985 number 1 seeds are 79-13 against 8 and 9 seeds in the second round of the NCAA men's basketball bracket. Only two teams seeded from 9 to 12 have made it to the Final Four. Amazingly they were both 11 seeds(George Mason in 2006 and LSU in 1986).
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Lost 42 times in the first round
Lost 47 times in the second round
Lost 2 times in the Sweet 16
Lost 1 time in the Elite 8
Lost 0 times in the Final Four
Lost 0 times in the championship game
Won the national championship 0 times
Number 10 seed NCAA bracket trends :
Lost 57 times in the first round
Lost 18 times in the second round
Lost 11 times in the Sweet 16
Lost 6 times in the Elite 8
Lost 0 times in the Final Four
Lost 0 times in the championship game
Won the national championship 0 times
Number 11 seed NCAA bracket trends:
Lost 63 times in the first round
Lost 18 times in the second round
Lost 7 times in the Sweet 16
Lost 2 times in the Elite 8
Lost 2 times in the Final Four
Lost 0 times in the championship game
Won the national championship 0 times
Number 12 seed NCAA bracket trends:
Lost 63 times in the first round
Lost 14 times in the second round
Lost 14 times in the Sweet 16
Lost 1 time in the Elite 8
Lost 0 times in the Final Four
Lost 0 times in the championship game
Won the national championship 0 times
NCAA bracket trends summary - 9 thru 12 seeds
As you can see from the chart above, most 9 through 12 seeds are done prior to the Sweet 16 as expected. Interesting how 10, 11, and 12 seeds stand a better chance of making the Sweet 16 for the simple reason that 9 seeds match up with the number 1 seeds in the second round. Since 1985 number 1 seeds are 79-13 against 8 and 9 seeds in the second round of the NCAA men's basketball bracket. Only two teams seeded from 9 to 12 have made it to the Final Four. Amazingly they were both 11 seeds(George Mason in 2006 and LSU in 1986).
Back to NCAA Bracket Tips
Back to College Basketball Rankings home page
Check out NCAA women's bracket trends
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